Commodities > Energy
21 articles
Fade the Peace or Buy the Breakdown — The Oil Trade Into Doha
Oil futures (CL1) teeter near the $70 handle as traders await crucial U.S.-Iran talks in Doha. With geopolitical tensions and OPEC uncertainty looming, this week's outcome will dictate the next move.
NQ Rebounds from Worst Week Since June 5 AI Sell-off: Thursday's NFP Jobs Data the Real Test
SpaceX's index inclusion, SK Hynix's Nasdaq debut and Alphabet's Dow addition over the next two weeks could inject fresh momentum, but AI capex skepticism and stagflation risks linger beneath the surface.
Iran Peace Tanks Crude — But Traders May Be Underpricing One More Downside Catalyst
WTI crude is fast approaching prewar levels as two powerful forces converge: an evaporating geopolitical risk premium and a quietly deteriorating Chinese demand outlook that markets may not have fully priced in.
Natural Gas: Contract Expiry, a Crowded Short, and a Heat Wave on the Way
NG futures are up over 1,5% today as the July contract expires into a weather-driven demand rally and a record-short COT positioning sets the stage for a potential squeeze into the holiday week.
Is the Oil Disinflation Already Doing the Fed's Work?
As markets price in Fed rate hikes, plummeting oil prices signal a shift. The true test for September won't be WTI crude; it will be whether core services inflation stays sticky.
Strong Inventory Draw, Weak Price: Crude's $70 Battle Exposes a Market Losing Faith in the Demand Story
Despite 9 straight weeks of inventory draws, WTI crude cracked below $73 as dollar strength, Fed rate hike fears, and Hormuz reopening hopes overwhelmed bullish supply data.
DXY at 13-Month Highs: Why the Fed Hike Trade Is the Only Trade Right Now
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is surging to 101.7 following a hawkish Fed outlook. Traders are pricing in September hike risks, impacting oil, gold, and equities ahead of Thursday’s critical PCE data.
Crude Steadies Near $73: Is the Floor Holding, and What Does It Mean for Inflation and Interest Rates?
With inventory deficits deep, supply recovery slow, and second-round inflation entrenched, the Fed's hawkish stance has room to run.
Crude Oil's War Premium Is Deflating. Here's Why It Won't Disappear
Three structural realities, namely an unfilled inventory hole, an unfinished peace deal, and a fractured OPEC, argue that crude's floor sits well above where it traded before the war began.
Oil Rebounds off 200-Day MA After Slumping to 15-Week Lows: Has the Selloff Run Its Course?
Oil prices hit 15-week lows as markets factor in a US-Iran peace deal, despite tight supply data. With physical stocks shrinking, is the current selloff disconnected from reality?
Oil Breaks Below $80 for the First Time Since April — How Far Can the Iran-Deal Unwind Go?
Oil futures crashed below $80 amid a US-Iran peace deal on the Strait of Hormuz. While the war premium evaporates, physical supply constraints and OPEC+ price floors suggest limits to the sell-off.
Crude Heads Toward Lowest In Nearly 2 Months, Rate-Hike Fears Fade, but Inflation Keeps Markets Guessing
Oil fell despite renewed Middle East tensions as traders focused on uninterrupted supply flows and mixed U.S. inflation data. With the FOMC looming and rate-hike risks lingering, bearish technicals kept crude under pressure.
US-Iran Peace Deal: Potential Market Implications for Oil, S&P 500, and Nasdaq
Optimism grows for a US-Iran peace deal following the "Islamabad Memorandum." We analyze how a potential agreement—or its collapse—could impact S&P 500, Nasdaq, and oil futures market volatility.
Why Oil Traders Should Focus Less on Iran and More on the Front-to-6-Month Spread
Calendar spreads, inventory expectations and softer demand forecasts indicate traders expect the current supply shock to fade over time, limiting the prospects for a sustained oil price spike.
Crude Pops 3.3%: Reclaims $91 on a Surprise 7-Million-Barrel Draw — But the Hormuz Clock Is Still Running
Crude oil prices face volatility amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and conflicting diplomatic headlines. Caught between supply shocks and weak demand, the market remains range-bound and uncertain.
Tech Stocks Lead US Indices Once Again into Slumber as Sell-Off Resumes on Trump's Retaliation Threat
Tech-driven volatility gripped Wall Street as geopolitical tensions, rising inflation, and Federal Reserve rate hike fears sparked a rotation out of growth stocks, hammering the Nasdaq while broader indices held relatively steady.
Natural Gas Ignores Latest Middle East Turmoil, but Risks Are Building
U.S. natural gas fell 3% despite Middle East tensions, as domestic storage surpluses and reduced LNG export capacity severed the usual link between geopolitical risk and Henry Hub prices.
Crude Oil Spikes Sharply as Israel-Iran Fire Missile at Each Other, Risking Trump's Peace Plan
Israel struck Iran's Mahshahr complex and Lebanon, defying Trump and reigniting ceasefire fears. Crude spiked to $95.47 before easing, as Houthi blockade threats and stalled Hormuz talks kept markets on edge.
Oil Slides Below $92 as Surging Dollar and Iran Peace Hopes Cap Upside
Market participants appear to be pricing in a deal which is yet to be signed as physical market supply shortages persist. How long can this narrative continue?
US-Brokered Israel-Lebanon Truce Knocks 3% Off Oil but Neither Side Has Fully Committed Yet
WTI crude fell Thursday after U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire raised hopes of ending the Iran war, but Hezbollah's swift rejection of terms quickly tempered optimism, leaving markets uncertain.
Iran Strikes Kuwait Airport With Drones and Missiles, Killing One; S&P 500's Nine-Session Rally at Risk, Oil Surges
Markets sold off Wednesday as Iran's attacks on Kuwait shattered ceasefire hopes, while oil surged past $95 on prolonged supply disruption fears.