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New York Manufacturing Activity Nearly Holds Up Despite Iran War, Input Prices in Check, Expectations Robust — Are Firms Ignoring the Oil Shock?
New York manufacturing stalled in March, even as manufacturers remained cautiously optimistic about investment and future business conditions ahead of the FOMC meeting.
Inflation Stays Sticky As PCE Hits Expectations; Fed Rate Pause All But Locked In?
The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge came in line with expectation, although continuing to remain above the central bank’s target.
US Consumer Prices Stayed Benign in February — Why the Fed Still Won’t Cut Rates Next Week
February CPI met expectations and hit a five-year core low, but energy shocks and policy distortions may keep the Federal Reserve cautious on rate cuts.
US Growth Falters but Sticky Inflation Keeps Rate Pause in Play; Dollar and Treasury Futures React to SCOTUS Tariff Ruling
Weaker-than-expected growth alongside persistent inflation complicates the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, reinforcing a cautious stance and keeping markets on edge.
Stay Long on Dollar Into Weekend, Strategist Says, as US Currency Pushes to Multi-Month Highs: PCE Inflation Does Little To Rein In Rally
The dollar remains firm as safe-haven demand grew amid the Strait of Hormuz blockade and expectations the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged.
December PPI Surges On Services Inflation: Could Higher Prices Disrupt Fed’s Policy Plans?
The December PPI rose more than expected, with the strong services inflation and the prospect of rise in energy prices in the coming months signaling that pricing pressure may emerge as a concern for the Federal Reserve.
FOMC Week: Position for Volatility In Rates, DXY & Commodity Futures As Powell Sets The Tone
While the market expects a Fed pause, Powell’s tone and leadership uncertainty will drive Treasury futures, and dollar direction, creating short-term trading opportunities.
February Inflation Print Drops Wednesday: Trading ES, NQ Futures Amid US-Iran Volatility
Stock futures rebound from oil shock as markets await February CPI data, which could influence Fed outlook and near-term market direction.
March’s Blockbuster Jobs Report Makes the Case for Delaying Rate Hikes as the Fed Assesses Iran War Impact
U.S. job growth rebounded strongly in March, signaling a resilient labor market that could delay Federal Reserve rate cuts despite ongoing inflation concerns and a slight decline in labor force participation.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures Eye Key Levels Ahead Of FOMC, Mag 7 Earnings
ES futures hit record highs as weak U.S. data fuels Fed pause bets, while Mag 7 earnings, guidance, technicals drive near-term direction.
Americans Brace to Pay More for Gas as NY Fed's Near-term Inflation Expectations Hit 3.4%
Consumers expect higher near-term inflation driven by surging energy prices, while long-term expectations stay stable, and this could leave the Federal Reserve cautious on rates.
US Jobless Claims Surprise to Upside but Continuing Claims Fall, Clouding Fed Rate Outlook
Mixed labor signals and steady hiring trends, alongside geopolitical risks and inflation uncertainty, are likely to keep the Federal Reserve cautious and delay potential interest rate cuts.