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Jobless Claims Data Sends a Message: The Fed Isn’t Cutting Anytime Soon
The jobless claims report for the week ended Jan. 24 showed that the underlying labor market trend remained fairly resilient.
Gold Bucks Its Safe Haven Role To Underperform in Iran-War Fueled Market Crisis: What’s Driving the Bullion?
Gold pauses after huge 2025 rally as stronger dollar, rising real yields and Fed pause expectations curb safe-haven demand despite Iran war.
Japanese Election Results Spur Risk Appetite: Should Futures Traders Sell Yen Rallies, Buy Nikkei Strength?
Japan’s election outcome removes political uncertainty and reinforces a policy mix that keeps the yen structurally weak in the near term.
USD/JPY Nosedives As Market Reassesses Central Bank Paths And Intervention Risk — What A Weaker Greenback Means For US
Yen surged on intervention rumors, dragging the dollar lower, while strategists see higher odds of coordinated action as policy divergence supports JPY.
Eurozone Services PMI Edges Higher, but Growth Remains Fragile; Buy Euro FX Futures Cautiously with Tight Stops
Eurozone PMI signaled modest expansion in February, with services momentum improving but overall growth still below long-run average.
Crude Futures Rally Unabated after Record Weekly Gain, Dragging US Stock Index Futures Lower
Middle East conflict drives oil above $100 for first time since 2022, intensifying concerns over inflation and growth.
Hot ISM manufacturing data lifts rate hike expectations, leaving ES balanced at 7,000
Stronger-than-expected manufacturing data shifts focus to higher yields and a firmer dollar, pressuring rate-sensitive and commodity futures.
Dimon Warns Surging US Debt Could Hit Crisis Levels as Iran Oil Shock Worsens Inflation Outlook
Jamie Dimon warns geopolitical tensions and supply shocks may drive persistent inflation and higher rates, while urging policy reforms, stronger alliances, and investment to boost U.S. economic growth.
US Labor Market Softens While Consumer Confidence Edges Up, Even as Iran War Drives Inflation Expectations Higher
The labor market showed early signs of cooling in February, with job openings declining and hiring slowing but consumer confidence edged up in March, accompanied by rising inflation expectations and growing recession fears.