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Gold Enters Bear Market Amid US-Iran War: What History Says Happens Next
Gold enters a bear market as rising yields and a stronger dollar outweigh geopolitics, with macro forces driving risks and future direction.
ECB, BOJ Keep Rates Steady but Warn of ‘Uncertain’ Impact from Energy and LNG Disruptions Caused by the Unceasing Iran War
G10 central banks hold rates steady and issued cautious commentary, citing Iran war-driven energy shock risks, and the forex market showed muted reaction to the decisions.
ES Futures Recover From Early Dip Even as Strong Data Weakens the Case for Near-Term Rate Cuts: Spotlight Shifts to FOMC Minutes
Durable goods orders declined due to weaker transportation demand, but underlying business investment stayed firm, while housing activity improved, and industrial production strengthened.
Consumer Sentiment Edges Up, Inflation Still a Worry—What Will the Fed Do Next?
January consumer sentiment beat expectations but remains below last year as inflation worries and labor market uncertainty persist.
More Evidence of Sticky Inflation Drops Even As Growth Disappoints — Stagflation Risk Looms?
Economic data signals stagflation risks as inflation stays sticky and growth softens, while resilient labor markets complicate the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
FOMC Week: Position for Volatility In Rates, DXY & Commodity Futures As Powell Sets The Tone
While the market expects a Fed pause, Powell’s tone and leadership uncertainty will drive Treasury futures, and dollar direction, creating short-term trading opportunities.
First G10 Hike Is In: Iran War Pushes RBA Into Back-to-Back Rate Hikes, AUD/USD Subdued Ahead of Fed
The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered a narrowly split 25-bps hike to 4.10%, signaling a renewed tightening bias as persistent inflation and war-driven energy shocks complicate the policy outlook.
Copper Prices Fizzle as Trump Updates Tariff Expectations
Copper prices slipped after Trump’s Section 232 update eased near-term tariff fears, while stronger jobless claims data supported the dollar and reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts.
U.S. Inflation Cools, Keeping Fed Cut Bets Alive as Futures Traders Eye PCE and GDP for Confirmation
U.S. consumer inflation eased in January, with softer headline pressures, while underlying core price gains remained steady, keeping the Fed cautious ahead.
Goldilocks Data Keeps Rate-Cut Bets Alive; Sell DXY Rallies, Buy Treasury Dips as 2026 Easing Looms?
Traders factored in a higher-for-longer” interest rate environment even as a trio of economic data relayed a mixed message.
Tame Core Temper Rate Hike Odds, but Economists Flag Lingering Inflation Risk Beyond March's Energy-Driven CPI Surge
The month-over-month (MoM) CPI rate was the largest monthly jump since 2022, with energy alone contributing 0.7 percentage points.
FOMC Minutes Show Deep Divisions as Central Bank Weighs Rate Path Amid Inflation Risks Following Iran War
FOMC minutes reveal divisions as policymakers weigh inflation risks, labor weakness, and geopolitical uncertainty, signaling flexibility on rate hikes or cuts while emphasizing data dependence and a cautious, meeting-by-meeting approach.